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pmccarthy

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Posts posted by pmccarthy

    • To think the world is doing "all it reasonably CAN" is pure BS.. There's NEW possibilities Not despair and end of profit (except for Coal powered  generators eventually)  NEW ones are NOT economic. Old ones are unreliable. .Rockefellers got out of oil ages ago and even the Saudi's are selling out of it.. It's NOT the end of the world at all. Tourism employs about the same as mining does in Australia and mining will be increasingly mechanised and use robots. and off site control. Any extra oil we get should only be used here. 
       
            Foreign companies are the majority and renowned for paying no tax and doing a great deal of environmental damage they will never rectify. REAL costs of using carbon are NOT paid  Yes we are a joke and derided around the world and deserve to be. Per Capita we are second in the world as polluters of Carbon. Pulling your weight and. being fair counts. We all live on the same planet.  and Australia is known for it's standard of living  but HOW it's achieved is also of interest to the rest of the world IF it's done by unpopular and damaging means we will suffer. There's no avoiding it. Nev
       
      The Mining Equipment, Technology and Services (METS) sector in Australia is thriving, dynamic and world-leading. Generating over $90 billion annually in revenue, employing around 400,000 people and exporting to more than 200 countries globally.
       
      See http://www.austmine.com.au/
       

     

     

  1. And my point is that the strident calls for immediate 'de-carbonisation' are pointless posturing. The world is doing what it can, but we are dependent on fossil fuels for 85% of our energy. What would Greta have us do? Fossil fuels all produce carbon dioxide when burned. Why do you pick on coal in particular? I don’t think Greta or the other alarmists single it out. They want all fossil fuels stopped.

     

    if we are going to destroy civilisation, and that is what would happen, we need a much stronger reason than any that can be derived from dodgy computer models and dishonest pseudo science. 

     

     

     

  2. Octave - Page 9 of the report has total world consumption at the bottom by type of energy. It rolls renewables into one item. To split out the renewables you need the table on page 52 which is expressed in terrawatt-hours. So you can proportion that out against the renewables item, from page 9.

     

    https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2019-full-report.pdf

     

     

  3. The contribution of wind power globally is 2% and not the less than 0.5% I quoted, which I find was a few years out of date. The latest figures are from the report BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2019 68th edition

     

    In this review, primary energy comprises commercially-traded fuels, including modern renewables used to generate electricity.

     

    MTOE is million tonnes of oil equivalent.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    MTOE

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Oil

     

     

     

    4662.1

     

     

    34%

     

     

     

     

    Natural Gas

     

     

     

    3309.4

     

     

    24%

     

     

     

     

    Coal

     

     

     

    3772.1

     

     

    27%

     

     

     

     

    Nuclear

     

     

     

    611.3

     

     

    4%

     

     

     

     

    Hydro

     

     

     

    948.8

     

     

    7%

     

     

     

     

    Wind

     

     

     

    287.4

     

     

    2%

     

     

     

     

    Solar

     

     

     

    132.3

     

     

    1%

     

     

     

     

    Other renewables

     

     

     

    141.6

     

     

    1%

     

     

     

     

    Total

     

     

     

    13865

     

     

    100%

     

     

     

     

     

  4. "Again I do not buy the notion that decarbonizing means a sudden and dramatic drop in living standards. Perhaps you could offer some examples."

     

    Octave, I agree with you that we should decarbonize to the extent possible without throwing the world into recession and killing tens of millions of people. The problem is that the suggestions from Greta and her supporters would do just that. The world is heavily, heavily dependent on coal and oil and best estimates for a "safe" transition are 30-50 years. If that is your proposal, I agree. Even then of course, we will still need metallurgical coal to produce iron and would need a new technology to replace plastics with something that is not a by-product of the oil industry. The technical challenges are huge and we don't have a plan at present. Wind power globally produces less than 0.5% of our energy and is unlikely to become significant. 

     

     

  5. Assuming TRUE means warming is caused by humans, FALSE means warming is a natural cycle.

     

    TRUE & ACT   great reduction is standard of living, huge human cost in developing nations, need to adapt anyway. 

     

    TRUE & IGNORE need to adapt anyway

     

    FALSE & ACT great reduction is standard of living, huge human cost in developing nations, need to adapt anyway. 

     

    FALSE & IGNORE need to adapt anyway.

     

     

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