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I think there are two main unknowns:

1. How many Democrat, Independent and current non-voters will be worried enough to get out and vote against Trump.

2. How effective the Republican back-room plotting that is going on at State level to tilt the elections in Trump's favour will be.

Spoken with the quick and correct response of a true Aviator, Nev.  Most of us would drown gleefully clutching the prizewinning photo.

Here's a report on Trump's business acumen and accomplishments as listed by his lawyers in his Digital World Acquisition Registration Statement:

Doc1.docx

With backdated interest at 9% on his $355m fines, apparently he could be up for nearly US$500m.

42 minutes ago, Bruce Tuncks said:

The one thing that is a good sign is that even the worst dictators have sham "elections" where they win by the such  ridiculous margins that the rigged nature of the election is embarrassingly obvious.

Maybe so, but they don't care as long as they remain in power. 

Biden's report card from the special counsel looking into his classified documents retention problems is not looking too good. The counsel described him as " a sympathetic, well meaning, elderly man with a poor memory".  That won't help the Democrat's prospects, but Trump will be happy.

Trump’s insurrection charge is that he violated the Constitution by refusing to peacefully transfer power as it requires. It’s ithe actions he took to obstruct the process that matter more than what he actually said to his followers.

When the media itself is polarised the public just listens to the side they want to hear. Those that are even interested in what’s going on that is, which is only half the country. The rest have tuned out.

A recent survey showed that about 70%-80% of Democrat/Biden voters know about Trump's various legal cases. The corresponding number for Republicans was about 35%-45%, attributed largely to the right wing media's lack of interest in reporting on Trump's problems. About 50% of Independents were aware.  If Trump gets convicted of any of the criminal charges he's up for, the Independents will probably take notice, so that could stack the odds against him in the election, despite his army of loyal and uninformed supporters.

On the other hand, there's a fair chance that the Supreme Court may conclude that he's not even eligible to be on the ballot, based on the the original post-civil war intent of Section 3 of the 14th Amendment of the Constitution. Not that they can be relied on to either interpret it that way or provide a ruling before the election. It will be an interesting few months.

Melanie Safka died 24 Jan 2024 at age 76.  Perhaps never a superstar but her songs still pop up regularly.

I don't buy any tickets and I think I'm well ahead.

Michelle Obama has said she’s not interested in the job. She wouldn’t be a bad choice though.

He’s just been hit with an $83.3m fine so he may be buying fewer Big Macs for a while.

Unconvicted criminal.

The National Motor Museum in Birdwood is very interesting.

The York Motor Museum and the WA Motor Museum are also very good.

https://www.yorkmotormuseum.com/

https://www.whitemanpark.com.au/trains-trams-museums/motor-museum-of-wa

James Dimon (/ˈdaɪmən/; born March 13, 1956) is an American billionaire business executive and banker, who has been the chairman and chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase since 2005. He has also been on the board of directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.^[1][2]

Dimon was included in Time magazine's 2006, 2008, 2009, and 2011 lists of the world's 100 most influential people.^[3] Forbes estimated his net worth at $1.6 billion as of June 2023.^[4] He serves on the board of directors of institutions such as the Business Roundtable, the Bank Policy Institute, and the Harvard Business School.^[5][6]

During his time heading JPMorgan Chase, the bank was fined $38 billion by the U.S. government for legal and regulatory infractions, including a then-record $13 billion fine in 2013 for defrauding investors.^[7][8]

No surprise he'd be fine with Trump back in the White House. 

Interesting article. It's all about the profits.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/jan/21/jpmorgan-ceo-jamie-dimon-defends-trump

Obviously a slow day at the reno today.

She's trying so hard to be all things to everyone, that she risks being nothing to anyone. 

That means that despite Trump routinely calling Biden a criminal, he would be happy for Biden not to be charged for ordering his assassination as a political rival.  I wonder if that's what he really meant?

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5 hours ago, old man emu said:

What is the Silent Majority thinking. 

I'd say they're not thinking, which is part of the problem.

Should be interesting to see how the US Supreme Court handles this mess:

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/dec/26/trump-us-supreme-court-crisis

23 minutes ago, onetrack said:

He talks about how illegal migrants are nearly all criminals and are "poisoning the blood" of America.

So says the criminal who married two foreign women and is trying to poison America himself.

33 minutes ago, willedoo said:

 Sometimes I wonder if the Americans are even capable of having a critical look at their flawed system.

There are plenty of people even in the US who recognise the inherent flaws in their system - gerrymandering, the electoral college, state-based voting procedures and laws, first past the post voting rather than proportional representation, to name a few. The problem is it's almost impossible for them to collectively change anything.

There are about 16 other states also looking at kicking him off their ballots. There is an argument that it would be better to have him on the ballot and defeat him in the election. That would be a more definitive result.