It will be more than just a price rise in prices of premium chips.
The world cannot afford to give up Taiwan.
At Davos, the US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said:
"I would say that the single biggest threat to the world economy, the single biggest point of single failure, is that 97 percent of the high-end chips are made in Taiwan," Bessent told the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
He described a potential blockade or destruction of the island's manufacturing capacity as an "economic apocalypse," emphasizing Washington's efforts to relocate semiconductor production to American soil."
A blockade of these chips would send the world into the tech dark ages and we would certainly lose the AI arms race against China.
As I understand it, it would take decades to build the ecosystem required to produce these high end chips.